High
Tech and High Touch:
The Use of Polls and
Focus Groups in
Political Campaigns
By Brad
Bannon
Survey research is
more than numbers;
it is about words
and feelings. For
this reason, survey
research should be
about focus groups
and not just polls.
In
political research,
polling and focus
groups should go
together like a
horse and carriage.
But, often the only
kind of research
that campaigns
conduct is a poll.
Polls serve an
important need in
politics but they
are rigid,
structured and
formal.
If a
political campaign
is an effort to
build a candidate
and win an election,
the information from
the poll would
provide the skeleton
and the focus groups
would supply the
skin. Conducting a
poll without doing
focus groups is a
lot like having an
ice cream sundae
without the whipped
cream topping.
But,
what are focus
groups and what do
they do? Focus
groups are in depth
discussions with ten
to twelve voters for
a period of one and
a half to two hours
that deal with
candidates, issues
and verbiage. They
are meetings with
voters selected at
random by phone
within defined
demographic
parameters that
offer in-depth
information that
mold the campaign
into a being.
Political insiders
like to believe that
they know everything
about the issues and
images that surround
a campaign but the
focus groups give
voters an unfiltered
chance to tell us
what they think is
important. In this
period of political
discontent, anytime
you give voters the
chance to sound off,
the better you will
be to understand a
hostile political
environment.
A
professional
moderator guides the
discussion to
acquire the
information that the
campaign requires.
The
time you have to
talk to voters in
focus groups is an
important part of
the process. There
is just so much
information that you
can get from voters
in a 20 minute
baseline survey.
The
discussion in a
focus group gives
the researcher the
luxury to probe in
some detail the
nuances of an issue
that you can not
begin to deal with
in a 20 minute
baseline telephone
survey.
The
focus group
experience offers
valuable vocabulary
lessons for the
campaign. Political
insiders use
specialized language
or jargon that is
either
incomprehensible or
misleading to
voters. Focus groups
give you the chance
to learn the
language that voters
use to describe the
issues that they
worry about.
I
once conducted focus
groups in suburban
Virginia
for a coalition of
environmental
groups. The purpose
of the groups was to
discuss the problem
of suburban sprawl.
The problem was that
the word that my
clients liked to use
to describe the
problem, “sprawl”,
had a positive
meaning to voters.
When I asked focus
group participants
to tell me what they
thought of when they
heard the word,
“sprawl”, they told
me that it meant
having room to be
comfortable.
Overdevelopment was
a much better word
for the
environmental groups
to use in their
communications
because that word
had a clear negative
connotation.
If
you do decide to
conduct focus
groups, and you
should if you have
the budget, it is
important to keep
them loosely
structured. Many
researchers make the
mistake of
conducting very
formal and
structured focus
groups.
Focus groups
are an opportunity
to collect
impressions not more
numbers.
While
polls are very
structured and are
used to complement
the data you get
from a baseline
survey,
focus groups
should be informal
so that voters have
the chance to raise
their own issues and
concerns. The best
way to organize the
discussion in a
focus group is to
get participants
comfortable with the
moderator and each
other. Have
everybody introduce
themselves and tell
a little bit about
their kids or jobs.
I like to start
groups by talking
about my kids so
that the
participants can
identify with me.
Then
start the discussion
by asking
participants whether
or not they think
things in the
country, state or
county are going in
the right or wrong
direction and ask
them why they think
that way. The
questioning can
become more direct
as the group
continues.
One
of the decisions
that the campaign
has to make is
whether to conduct
the groups before or
after the baseline
survey. There are
arguments on both
sides but my opinion
is that focus groups
are most valuable
before the campaign
does the baseline
survey.
The
best reason to do
focus groups first
is that the
information from the
groups may provide
valuable insight
into the
construction of the
baseline
questionnaire. The
people in the
campaign will have
strong ideas about
the questionnaire
based on their
knowledge of the
area. The researcher
will also have firm
ideas about the
content of the
questionnaire on the
basis of his or her
polls in other
areas.
But
if you do the focus
groups before you
conduct the baseline
survey, the voters
in the groups will
raise issues that
neither the
researcher nor
client would have
come up with on
their own.
There
are, of course,
limitations to focus
groups. A poll is a
systematic and
scientific
measurement of
public opinion based
on the random
selection of voters
to interview If you
are careful and you
select a truly
random sample of 600
voters in Virginia
or any other state,
you can be confident
that you are
accurately measuring
public opinion
within a
margin of plus or
minus 4%. But there
is little chance
that talking to a
collection of 12
voters in a focus
group is
representative of
anything.
To
deal with the
reliability problem,
you have to be very
careful how you
conduct the groups
and interpret the
information you get
from a focus group.
You should always
conduct focus groups
in pairs among
specific types of
voters. If you
believe that you
have problems or
opportunities with
women over the age
of fifty, older
women would make an
attractive focus
group opportunity.
The
most important thing
however is to use
the qualitative
information from the
focus group in
conjunction with the
quantitative
information you get
from the baseline
survey. You may
learn from the poll
what issue is most
important to voters,
but the focus groups
will tell you how to
talk about that
issue.
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